SouthernWorldwide.com – As the FIFA World Cup group stage concludes, the tournament transitions into a high-stakes, do-or-die phase. The Round of 16, once the initial knockout stage, now represents the second hurdle in this expanded 48-team format.
We’re diving into the odds, specifically from FanDuel Sportsbook as of June 1, to see which nations are projected to advance at least one step further into the knockout rounds.
Here are the teams favored to reach the Round of 16:
- France: -450 (bet $10 to win $12.22 total)
- Spain: -390 (bet $10 to win $12.56 total)
- England: -360 (bet $10 to win $12.78 total)
- Germany: -280 (bet $10 to win $13.57 total)
- Brazil: -270 (bet $10 to win $13.70 total)
- Portugal: -270 (bet $10 to win $13.70 total)
- Belgium: -260 (bet $10 to win $13.85 total)
- Argentina: -200 (bet $10 to win $15 total)
- Switzerland: -165 (bet $10 to win $16.06 total)
- Mexico: -155 (bet $10 to win $16.45 total)
- Netherlands: -145 (bet $10 to win $16.90 total)
- USA: -130 (bet $10 to win $17.69 total)
- Norway: -130 (bet $10 to win $17.69 total)
- Colombia: -120 (bet $10 to win $18.33 total)
- Canada: +100 (bet $10 to win $20 total)
- Türkiye: +110 (bet $10 to win $21 total)
- Ecuador: +115 (bet $10 to win $21.50 total)
- Morocco: +125 (bet $10 to win $22.50 total)
- Croatia: +130 (bet $10 to win $23 total)
- Uruguay: +130 (bet $10 to win $23 total)
- Ivory Coast: +155 (bet $10 to win $25.50 total)
- Egypt: +180 (bet $10 to win $28 total)
- Japan: +180 (bet $10 to win $28 total)
- Austria: +190 (bet $10 to win $29 total)
- South Korea: +200 (bet $10 to win $30 total)
- Czechia: +210 (bet $10 to win $31 total)
- Senegal: +210 (bet $10 to win $31 total)
Let’s break down what these odds signify for the competing nations.
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The Favorites: France and Spain stand out as the top contenders, not just for the tournament, but also as strong favorites to progress to the second round of the knockout stage. France has a consistent track record, reaching the quarterfinals in 2014, winning the tournament in 2018, and finishing as runners-up in 2022. Their last group stage exit was in 2010.
Spain’s recent history in the Round of 16 has seen them eliminated in both 2022 and 2018. They failed to advance from the group stage in 2014, a stark contrast to their 2010 World Cup victory.
The Host Nations: The three host nations – Mexico, USA, and Canada – are all projected to navigate the group stage and secure a victory in their Round of 32 match. Mexico has historically struggled with the Round of 16, facing elimination at this stage for seven consecutive tournaments from 1994 to 2018. However, they were unable to advance from the group stage in 2022.
The USA reached the Round of 16 in 2022, did not qualify for the 2018 tournament, and made it to the Round of 16 in both 2014 and 2010. For Canada, their World Cup journey has yet to see them secure a win or a draw, let alone advance beyond the group stage.
